Tag: Commentary

It has always been this way

So, as part of my academic masochism I have been reading a whole host of 911 Truth Movement-related articles (links here, here and here). Seeing that they are mostly comprised of Strawman Arguments (always fallacious) I’ve found myself groaning so often that my co-workers think I must have stomach troubles. I’m sure that I will get ulcers from this project, if only because my paranoia (a post for another time; it’s utterly irrational paranoia and its completely due to reading too much paranoiac material) is at an all time high.Still, there is profit to this, for I seem to have discovered (although not necessarily a novel discovery) that there seems to be a rather constant use of what I will call, for the time being, a post hoc fallacy, which is that behaviour now is inferred to be true of the past as well. (more…)

Jesuits

I’m currently reading up on the evilness of Jesuits and found this astounding paragraph:

And thus Vatican II came to pass. Out went almost 2,000 years of Church teaching, in came the errors that were previously condemned by it.They created a “New Mass” that was condemned by previous popes, and changed the ordination and consecration rites, which invalidated them. If a man is going to offer the True Mass, he has to follow the rules of the Church to become ordained and then offer the True Mass according to the rules of the Church.So now rather than having priests who are ordained according to the revealed teachings of the Catholic Church, we have laymen who are not ordained offering a religious service that has been anathematized by the Council of Trent. Not even Benedict XVI was properly consecrated as a Bishop, which is one reason why an increasing number of Catholics question the validity of his Papacy.

Condemed by previous Popes? I thought they had died. The New Mass anathematised by the Council of Trent? That was very forward thinking of them, seeing that the New Mass was instigated some five hundred years after that auspicious meeting.Yea, verily, there be some great stuff to read at Illuminati News.

September the Eleventh

I’m hesitant to write anything about September the Eleventh. For one thing, despite being not being that way inclined, part of me worries that saying anything about September the Eleventh will cause something to happen (true story; one of my best friends has his birthday on the 11th and he complained one year that nothing ever happens for his birthday. The next day it did happen.) and I don’t really want to get involved with rumour mongering.Yes, for the student of the Conspiracy Theory today is as important as that day in November back in 1963.Bomber Bradbury, Auckland ‘personality’ and former Craccum editor, has posted a list of 101 ‘issues’ surrounding the Official View of 9/11. (more…)

Wiki wiki wiki

When it comes to doing good, proper research the Wikipedia is not your friend. When it comes to finding out fan theories on subjects pop culture the Wikipedia is your only ally. For Conspiracy Theories… Well, Wikipedia exists somewhere inbetween.

Wikipedia’s entry on Conspiracy Theory is a funny thing. It reads badly; too much editing and it jumps about the place like a misplaced herring in heat. It’s the major reason why I haven’t even begun to contemplate making edits to it… Well, that and the fear of having said edits revoked. Still, the entry does have a links section and that is where the gold is, so to speak. By and large these links are very self-indulgent (All Embracing But Underwhelming is on there, for example) which is what makes them oh-so-interesting.

Especially for the site that I fear the most.

It starts oh-so-innocently:

As a long time academic teaching history, I have long admired Herodotos’s method. Initially called “The Father of History or Father of Lies”, recent research has shown he was more the Father of History. We get our word “History” from his work, Historia, which is Greek for “Enquiries”. There are lots of conspiracy theories in the world today, from conspiracy theories about 9/11 terrorism or synthetic terror, from aliens to UFOs, Illuminati, New World Order, Freemasons, Templars. This blog seeks to discuss how much substance, if any, conspiracy theories have.’
Conspiracy Enquiries, July 24th, 2006

Yet, in the space of one post we get a letter to an editor (of what I don’t know) ‘critiquing’ the 9/11 story. The best, though, was saved for third place, with the Mel Gibson cover-up:

‘And was Mel drugged? He has a history of being fond of a drink, and it would be no trouble to slip a drug into the water that he stated he was drinking at the time. He looked drugged rather than drunk in the released photos.’Mel Gibson is outspoken against the Bush administration and is well informed about the machinations of the Rothschilds and the Rockefellers and their fellow players -imv his arrest is all a bit too convenient for the powers-that-be.
Conspiracy Enquiries, August 6th, 2006

It’s hard to know where to begin with this. In fact, so hard is it to find the right place to lay the mighty smackdown (for the target is large and placid) that it seems all too easy and I’m just not going to. Exactly why people feel the need to excuse Gibson’s behaviour fascinates me; if Marlon Brando was still alive they could form a club devoted to making accusations against the Jewish people which they later apologise for knowing that their fans will make excuse after excuse for their actions. The mind boggles, it really does.

[Unfortunate but true: the posts onConspiracy Enquiries become a little more rational after the Mel Gibson post, although by a little I don’t mean by all that much.]

Conspiracy Enquiries seems to have been removed from the Wikipedia entry on Conspiracy Theory, which is a pity (well, not really). I suspect that it failed to ‘make the grade’ because it’s really no more than a reporting place for various conspiracy theories in circulation, which makes it a) trivially interesting and thus not worth preserving a link to and b) it’s lack of scope compared to some of the other sites makes it worthless as a reference source. The sites that the Wikipedia entry does list that are merely references to the breadth and scope of different conspiracy theories can be seen as a sampler, and you only need so many samplers. Poor oldConspiracy Enquiries just isn’t quite there. So, why the interest? Well, you already know, don’t you oh loyal reader (or readers… It’s a bit hard to tell); I’m afraid of changing from conspiracy sceptic to conspiracy believer and thus I have to harp on about this every so often to remind myself that it’s only a small step to Anorakville. But, possibly more importantly, it’s the comments sections. The people who post in support of these theories intrigue me; I want to invite them to sit in on a Critical Thinking course. I want to know if they hold other beliefs I think are incompatible with the background assumptions of our paradigm of knowledge. Do they hold only to one conspiracy or many? Do they think the Pentagon attack was American but the Twin Towers attack Middle Eastern (a fairly common belief, by the way)? Are they supporters of alternative medicine or do they think that’s wacky? I suspect that most of them are just like you and I and I find that scary.

Very scary.

My intuition of this study is that belief in conspiracy theories will turn out to be interestingly rational (and no, I can’t currently phrase that in more informative terms as I’m still trying to work out what I mean by ‘interestingly’) and quite normal. It’s the ‘quite normal’ part that I’m afraid of. I’m already seeing it in current discourse; the whole Labour Pledge Card fiasco going on in New Zealand (NB. Yes, I’m a supporter of Labour (well, more socialism in general, really) but I do think the Government is in the wrong in this matter and the longer they try to spin this out the more uncomfortable I feel about an administration I’m losing love for anyway) is a good example. The Right think it was a conspiracy to buy the election (which is a poorly reasoned conclusion as there is no proof that the pledge card itself was a deciding factor in the election (for we can form a valid counterexample where the Labour Government overspends and doesn’t win the election); the Left thinks that the Auditor-General and the Solicitor General… Well, it’s hard to know what the Left think about those two, apart from somehow having changed the rules. Whatever the case, people who normally wouldn’t believe in conspiracy theories are muttering about them on ferries and on buses or shouting at talkbackers whilst driving their cars into work.

Which has always been normal, truth be told, and probably always will be.

Except for me, of course. I’m the model thinker. Which reminds me, if you buy that then I have some reclaimed land in Bayswater I want to sell you.

On the Cock-up Theory

‘Although it often grows surprisingly heated, sooner or later the argument [between which is the better explanation of an historical event, a Conspiracy or Cock-up Theory] descends into a quarrel over the interpretation of details, and it usually ends in a rather unsatisfactory draw. One is then left with the feeling that it wasn’t really so much about all the details, as a conflict between two fundamentally different philosophies, or at least two psychological types who view the world in diametrically opposed ways.’…

‘Is it [the Cock-up Theory] a theory at all? Where the conspiracy theorist sets up more or less verifiable, more or less ridiculous propositions – the cock-up theorist doesn’t really have an awful lot to say for himself. Once you’ve established that accident and incompetence rule, not much remains to be elaborated on. Perhaps it isn’t so much a theory as a slightly pessimistic attitude – which sounds like a profound insight into the futility of our best-laid plans, but never does so without at least a hint of complacency.

‘If the cock-up argument has a weakness it is precisely that somewhere in the background there is that really rather outrageous generalisation. Certainly we’re all bumbling fools, yes there are probably a million cock-ups every day. But if we’re allowed to generalise in that way, it’s equally true to say that human beings also manage to produce intricate patterns and designs – not least in politics -that we also like to plan together, to act in accord – and to conspire. And it shouldn’t come as complete news that we often get away with it.’Gunnar Pettersson, Cock-up or Conspiracy (BBC Radio 3)

Is the Cock-up Theory of History really an explanatory theory? This is the question that vexes me at the moment. The Cock-up Theory could be seen as some sort of shorthand for ‘Look, it’s a really long and complex story as to why X occurred, and it definitely wasn’t due to Conspiracy Y, because…’ but that isn’t the way the Cock-up Theory is usually presented. The Cock-up Theory is most often presented with a wry smile, a sigh-cum-chuckle and the words ‘Some of my colleagues might well think that but really…’ Unlike the Conspiracy Theory, which gives reasons galore (whether they are good or bad) for the event under consideration occurring because of a secret cabal’s plotting, the Cock-up Theory seems theory-less.

Yet we seem to prefer it.

Hmm.

Historical Conspiracies

Trivial fact: Conspiracies have happened in the past. Not so trivial fact: No one really (and by really I mean academically) takes an interest in them as anything other than Historical Events (oh, I’m bound to be proved wrong here; extreme hubris mode on).

Luckily Victoria Emma Pagán has written a book on the subject of Roman Conspiracy Narratives, focussing on three failed conspiracies (the Catilinarian conspiracy: an attempt to win control of Rome through illegimate means, the Bacchanalian cult (by all likelihood not a real conspiracy but one constructed by Livy well after the fact), the Pisonian conspiracy: Gaius Calpurnius Piso’s attempt to become Emperor after killing Nero) and two successful conspiracies, the assassinations of Julius Caesar and Caligula (aka ‘Little Boots’).

Where knowledge of the facts becomes more shadowy, the gap must be filled both by narrative skill (particularly the good handling of suspense) and ideological and generic influences. Addressing the ways that a historian frames conspiracy, especially the strategies he uses to build the reader’s confidence in his account, raises the larger question of what conspiracy means to a Roman. The historian relies upon shared political and cultural values to fill out the narrative in places where the facts are sketchier. For this reason, it was hard not to misremember Pagán’s title as “Conspiracy Theories in Ancient Rome,” an error that the author herself encourages by including material on Watergate and the Kennedy assassination. These two contemporary examples, both rife with gaps in information and competing versions of what really happened, represent historical events that changed American ways of thinking about power and those who exercise it; similarly, Pagán sometimes hints and sometimes addresses more directly how Roman narratives of conspiracy illuminate what it represented for the Romans. The book therefore looks in two directions: descriptively, toward a definition of conspiracy as the narrative vocabulary of ancient historiography shapes it; and theoretically, toward how narratives of conspiracy betray other Roman attitudes.
— Holly Hayes on Victoria Emma Pagán’ ‘Conspiracy Narratives in Roman History,’ Austin: University of Texas Press, 2004

Well, said I, that’s an advert that seems written for me (and possibly me alone). A quick recall of the book from the library (I wish I knew why it was out; is someone in Classics working on a similar project?) and, well, a few days of reading.

Advertising sucks.

Well, not really. ‘Conspiracy Narratives in Roman History’ is more literary analysis than a indepth discussion of conspiracies. Pagán is interested in how ancient historians explained the presence of conspiracies, noting:

In a society like ancient Rome, based on large-scale slave ownership, unequal relations of power and status, and the unequal distribution of wealth, conspiracy was doubtless far from the surface. By exaggerating the exceptionality of conspiracy, the historians were able to circumscribe its effects.
— p. 126

If you know Roman history (or have watched ‘I, Claudius’) then you will know that the end of the Republic/beginning of the Empire was mired in political games that often, at least, looked like conspiracies. It’s a point we should be mindful of today; a lot of the actions businesses and politicians engage in are conspiratorial, but we save the word ‘conspiracy’ for grander things, such as assassinations or coups.All in all, it’s an interesting book. I thought I was having trouble with it at first; the introduction talks about the book being a study of the use of slaves and women in conspiracy narratives, which seemed remarkably too much like certain bad crit lit I’ve read. These fictional creatures, women and slaves (since they are used as devices in the writing and rarely refer to historic individuals), reflect, according to the author, the distasteful aspect of Conspiracy Theories to Ancient Roman audiences. I found myself disagreeing with Pagan every time she wrote on these issues because, well, I don’t tend to find such post-modern interpretations useful. Yet, and this is humbling to say, I think she’s right. In Roman histories women are unusual creatures. Women had little to no rights in the Roman world and many of the great villains of Roman history are feminised (Caligula, for one). Pagan’s hypothesis is that slaves and women (virtually equal in the eyes of the Powers-That-Were in Rome) are the scapegoats for betrayed (unsuccesful and discovered) conspiracies in Rome because they represent plotting-in-secret. Good Roman men did everything in public; conspiring required hiding and doing things in prvate places, the kind of places that slaves and women would be found.

(It’s interesting to note that the women who tend to appear in these conspiracy narratives are inconstant; one historian will call ‘the women’ by one name while another will not, or just omit the name entirely…)

And then there is the confirmation (bias) I have from studying Roman history; women do get a raw deal from ancient sources. Powerful women end up being described like men; weak men end up being described as women and you never seem to find a male poisoner…

In the end the book really only produced (for my project) one interesting quote, which is:

While some conspiracies are indicative of failing morality, certain conspiracies are, morally speaking, good. Sometimes good citizens must join in secret with like-minded fellows to overthrow an oppressive government.
— p. 107

A lot of writers deny that the kind of conspiracy theories we find interesting are benign, but obviously this isn’t the case. The assassination of Caligula (who, unlike Tiberius and Nero, has never really been rehabilitated by modern historians) probably was a conspiracy of goodness, seeing that the conspirators don’t seem to have wanted to take power themselves but rather give it back to the Senate (for the historically challenged the German Imperial Guards (the Praetorians) decided that Caligula’s uncle should be Emperor and the Senate were too slow to act to block it; thus we have Claudius, my favourite of the Caesars, as the next Imperator and Princeps Senatus). Conspiracies of goodness have existed, may well exist now and probably will exist in future. But, I suspect, the general public just doesn’t find them anywhere near as interesting as the evil plots that threaten to return the Catholic Church to power and rob the United States of its independence.

Which, according to some conspiracy theories, it never had in the first place.